ExecutivePulse
Official Federal Data

Warren County, Virginia

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV · Population 41,531
9 Sources Updated August 12, 2026
$84,682 up from the baseline named below
Median Income (nominal) vs 2019
$80,734 national
3.3% up from the baseline named below
Unemployment vs 2024
4.3% national
$2.6B unchanged from the baseline named below
GDP (nominal) real change vs 2023
25% up from the baseline named below
Bachelor's+ vs 2019
35.7% national

Demographics & Population

Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates

Household Income

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
Median Household (nominal)
$84,682 up from 2019 vs 2019
Per Capita
$40,091 up from 2019 vs 2019
Mean Household
$104,851 up from 2019 vs 2019
Median Household (cost-of-living adjusted)
$77,761 metro RPP 108.9
Poverty Rate
11.6% up from 2019 vs 2019
Median Income Comparison
Warren County$84,682
Virginia$93,170
National$80,734
Warren County is $8,488 (9.1%) below the Virginia median, despite sitting above the national median.
Cost-of-living adjustment uses the BEA all-items regional price parity for Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV, 108.9 against a national average of 100 (2024). BEA publishes regional price parity at state and metropolitan level only; there is no county figure, so the metro index stands in for Warren County and the adjusted median is an approximation. Per capita and mean household income above are nominal and carry no adjustment.

Population Profile

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B01001, B02001, B03003
65+: 17.2% (7,161 residents) 55-64: 14.9% (6,170 residents) 35-54: 25.3% (10,488 residents) 18-34: 21% (8,742 residents) Under 18: 21.6% (8,970 residents) 40 Median Age
CohortsShare of total population
Under 18 · 21.6%
18-34 · 21%
35-54 · 25.3%
55-64 · 14.9%
65+ · 17.2%
Race & Ethnicity
White82.5%
Two or More Races6.4%
Black or African American5.2%
Some Other Race4.4%
Asian1.4%
American Indian and Alaska Native0.1%
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander0%
Hispanic or Latino(any race)7.4%
Hispanic or Latino is an ethnic category and overlaps with the race categories above.

Educational Attainment

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · Population 25+
89.2%
High School+
National: 89.6%
down from national 0.4 pts vs national
25%
Bachelor's+
National: 35.7%
down from national 10.7 pts vs national
9.7%
Graduate+
National: 14.1%
down from national 4.4 pts vs national

Employment Overview

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
41,531
Population
20,779
Labor Force
Employed
19,761
Unemployment Rate BLS LAUS 2025 annual
3.3% up from 2024 +0.5 pts vs 2024
Mean Commute 11 min above national avg
37.8 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
12.4%
Labor Force and Employed are ACS 5-Year survey estimates; the Unemployment Rate above comes from BLS LAUS, a separate monthly survey with its own methodology. The two won't reconcile by subtracting one from the other.
Key Takeaways
  • Income near the national median: Median household income tracks the national median, indicating a broad-based consumer market.
  • Below the state median: Median household income runs $8,488 (9.1%) under the Virginia median, so statewide income averages overstate local household buying power.
  • Cost of living erodes income: Local prices run 8.9% above the national average, so the nominal median of $84,682 is worth $77,761 at national average prices. BEA publishes price parity at metro level, not county level.
  • Talent gap: Bachelor's-or-higher attainment trails the national average by 10.7 pts, relevant for advanced-services attraction strategy.

Economy & Industry

Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis

$2.6B unchanged from 2023 0% vs 2023
Gross Domestic Product · 2024
0% real (inflation-adjusted) · +1% nominal · 2023 to 2024
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis · level and nominal change from CAGDP2 (current dollars); real change from CAGDP9 (chained 2017 dollars), both all-industry total. The two series agree in 2017, the chain reference year, and diverge by the amount of price change since.
108.9
Cost of Living · metro · Above Avg

Top Private-Sector Industries by Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2024 Annual · Private sector only, with government shown below · 2025 is available but itemises 8 of the broad sectors against 10 for 2024, so the fuller year is shown
Top private-sector industries by employment in Warren County, Virginia, with employment, share of top sectors, and average wage. Government employment is excluded and reported separately below the table.
IndustryEmploymentShare of Top 10Avg Wage
1Retail Trade
1,681 16.3%
$34,137
2Health Care and Social Assistance
1,479 14.3%
$56,311
3Accommodation and Food Services
1,467 14.2%
$25,165
4Manufacturing
1,383 13.4%
$72,301
5Transportation and Warehousing
1,233 12.0%
$58,014
6Educational Services
766 7.4%
$40,659
7Construction
755 7.3%
$61,306
8Administrative and Support and Waste Management
666 6.5%
$56,142
9Other Services (except Public Administration)
483 4.7%
$42,849
10Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
397 3.9%
$84,800
Government employment · context only
2,004

Public-sector jobs are not in the table above and are not part of any share or location quotient on this page. Both are measured on the private economy only, 11,383 private jobs in 2024: every location quotient divides by that total, and the Share of Top 10 column divides by the 10 sectors listed above. Private employment is the standard basis for measuring industry concentration because government employment mostly serves the resident population rather than an outside market. Nothing on this card is expected to add up with the government figure.

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Key Takeaways
  • Largest private-sector industry: Retail Trade employs 1,681 workers (16.3% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $34,137. Every industry figure on this page is private sector; government employs a further 2,004 and is counted separately.
  • Economic scale: Regional GDP of $2.6B (2024).
  • Wage stratification: Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services averages $84,800 while Accommodation and Food Services averages $25,165, a 3.4x spread in the same local economy, with implications for workforce development and talent strategy.
Source: BLS QCEW + BEA Regional GDP.
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Industry Concentration

Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.

Location Quotient Analysis

Chart source: BLS QCEW · broad NAICS supersector · private sector · Location Quotient vs. national private-sector employment share. The same supersector axes appear on every profile, so the shape can be compared across counties.
Concentrated Industries
List source: BLS QCEW · 3-digit NAICS sub-sector · private sector · Location Quotient vs. national private-sector employment share.
Same source and same private-sector basis as the Top Industries table above. These sit at a finer level than the chart's supersector axes, so the two sets of values are not directly comparable. The sub-sector view surfaces specialization the supersector view masks, such as Support Activities for Transportation here.
Support Activities for Transportation
3.46x
243
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
3.12x
193
Educational Services
2.78x
766
Utilities
2.37x
120
General Merchandise Retailers
2.13x
597
Building Material and Garden Supply Retailers
1.87x
222
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
1.58x
277
Personal and Laundry Services
1.56x
210
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
1.55x
139
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
1.51x
54

Cluster Depth

Source: BLS QCEW · Sub-sectors with LQ ≥ 1.5 indicate genuine cluster concentration
Concentrated Sub-Sectors
10 sub-sectors at LQ ≥ 1.5
Largest grouping among them is Retail Trade Cluster at 43.8% of the employment across all of them, which signals supply-chain fit for site selectors
2,821
Employment in the sub-sectors listed
3.46x
Peak sub-sector LQ
Sub-Sector Detail
Support Activities for Transportation
3.46x 243
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
3.12x 193
Educational Services
2.78x 766
Utilities
2.37x 120
General Merchandise Retailers
2.13x 597
Building Material and Garden Supply Retailers
1.87x 222
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
1.58x 277
Personal and Laundry Services
1.56x 210
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
1.55x 139
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
1.51x 54

Attraction Opportunities

LQ < 0.5 with ≥ 50 employed, screened against local siting constraints. Source: BLS QCEW
0.43x
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
397 employed
Screened on industrial power cost, rail-truck intermodal access, land base. Industrial electricity in Virginia costs 9.45¢/kWh against 8.62¢/kWh nationally (2025). Virginia has 7 rail-truck intermodal terminals, the nearest 6 miles from the county. Land area 215 sq mi, larger than 8% of US counties. Sources: EIA, BTS NTAD, Census Gazetteer.
Key Takeaways
  • Top specialization: Support Activities for Transportation concentrates at 3.46x the national norm, strong concentration that anchors the local economy and supports supply-chain attraction strategy.
  • Cluster depth: 10 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, but 51.2% of the employment across them depends on one source of demand: resident household spending. Read the count as depth within that single demand base rather than as spread across separate ones.
Source: BLS QCEW sub-sector Location Quotients.
Warren County's Top Sectors by Workforce Share
Each rectangle's area is proportional to that sector's share of total private-sector employment across all NAICS supersectors. Hover for exact employment.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW 2024 Annual · Private sector, NAICS supersectors

Housing & Affordability

Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026

Housing Overview

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates · Tables B25001, B25077, B25064, B25004
$348,400 up from the baseline named below
Median Home Value vs 2019
$1,199 up from the baseline named below
Rent/Mo vs 2019
75.9% down from the baseline named below
Owner-Occ vs 2019
10.1% down from the baseline named below
Vacancy vs 2019
1.2% available
for rent or sale
4.1x
Home Value to Income Ratio
vs. ~4.1x national average

HUD Fair Market Rents

HUD publishes these by FMR area, which may cover more than one county · Source: HUD · Fair Market Rents FY2026 · Affordability threshold and renter cost burden from Census ACS B25119, B25070
Studio
$953/mo
1 Bedroom
$1,002/mo
2 Bedroom
$1,315/mo
3 Bedroom
$1,754/mo
4 Bedroom
$2,206/mo
30% of monthly median renter household income (~$1,334/mo, from a renter median of $53,368) · rents above this line are typically considered cost-burdened.
Measured: 37.9% of renter households already pay 30% or more of income on rent, and 13.1% pay 50% or more.
Key Takeaways
  • In line with national: Home value to income ratio of 4.1x sits near the ~4.1x national average; affordability is neither a clear advantage nor a recruitment friction.
  • High home ownership: 75.9% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.1% of housing units are vacant, above the Virginia rate of 8.7%, and down from 10.6% in 2019.
  • Vacancy composition: the largest vacancy category is other vacant at 64.8% of vacant units, with seasonal and recreational use at 23.2%.
  • Genuinely available supply: units listed for rent or for sale are 12% of the vacant stock, or 1.2% of all housing units against the 10.1% headline vacancy rate. Absorbable supply for an incoming employer is thin, and the gap between the two is the redevelopment and conversion opportunity.
  • Affordable rent tiers: 3 of 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom sizes sit below what a household on the median renter income of $53,368 can pay without cost burden (~$1,334/mo), and 37.9% of renter households are measured as cost-burdened.
Source: Census ACS housing tables + HUD Fair Market Rents.

Workforce Pipeline

Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition

Labor Market Overview

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B23001, B23025, B08303, B08301
25,400 up from the baseline named below
Working Age (18-64) vs 2019
Mean Commute 11 min above national avg
37.8 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
12.4%
Prime-Age Employed (25-54)
77.9%
of prime-age population
Prime-age rate numerator is civilian employed (B23001); the denominator is total population aged 25-54 (B01001), which also includes armed forces.
Labor force participation rate: 62.4%, the labor force as a share of the population aged 16 and over (ACS B23025) 62% Participation
of population age 16 and over (33,280)
down from 2019 vs 2019

Education & Talent Pipeline

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003
Bachelor's+
25% up from 2019 vs 2019
HS Diploma+
89.2% up from 2019 vs 2019
Institutions in Warren County
The IPEDS institutional directory lists no college, university, or technical school located in Warren County. Any training pipeline serving this county runs through institutions outside it, which this page does not aggregate.

Aging Workforce

Source: Census Bureau ACS · Derived from age & employment tables
24.3%
55-64 of working-age population (18-64)
Same cohort is 14.9% of total population, the basis used in the Demographics cohort chart.
Elevated retirement risk, above the 20% threshold. Succession planning recommended.

Workforce by Occupation

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table C24010 · Civilian employed population 16+
Management / Professional
38.7%
Service
15.2%
Sales & Office
19.6%
Construction / Maint.
13.2%
Production / Transport
13.3%
Bars are drawn on a 0% to 40% axis, so bar length is proportional to actual share. Labels give each group's share of 19,761 employed workers.
Key Takeaways
  • Succession risk is real: 24.3% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
  • Healthy participation: 62.4% labor force participation reflects a steady, available local workforce.
  • Talent pipeline: no college, university, or technical school is located in Warren County per the IPEDS institutional directory, so any training pipeline serving it runs through institutions outside the county.
Source: ACS workforce data and College Scorecard.

AI Insights

Sample output. Pulse AI analysis draws on 9 federal data sources.

Sample AI Insight

Warren County shows meaningful potential for support activities for transportation attraction, with a 3.46x concentration and 243 jobs in this sub-sector. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 24.3% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.

Most of the employment across the concentrated sub-sectors traces back to a single source of demand. Resident household spending accounts for 51.2% of it, with educational services the largest single sub-sector at 27.2%. Recruitment that widens the demand base changes that exposure; recruitment inside the same base deepens it.

Industry Shift Analysis

Manufacturing Automation Risk
High
Healthcare Growth Forecast
+4.2% CAGR
Remote Work Migration
67/100

Prospect Match Scores

Advanced Manufacturing
92/100
Life Sciences
84/100
Data Centers
71/100
Illustrative example

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Data Sources

Updated from official federal government data.

Census ACS 5-Year2024
BLS QCEW2024 annual
BLS LAUS2025 annual
BEA Regional GDP2024
BEA Regional Price Parity2024
Census CBP2023
HUD Fair Market RentsFY2026
FCC Broadband Map2024
USAspending.govFY2026

American Community Survey figures on this page are 2020-2024 five-year averages rather than single-year counts. A five-year estimate pools 60 months of survey responses, so each value describes the period as a whole.

Frequently Asked Questions

Key economic and demographic figures for Warren County, Virginia, from federal data sources.

What is the population of Warren County, Virginia?

41,531 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the median household income in Warren County, Virginia?

$84,682 in nominal dollars (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates). Adjusted for local prices using the BEA all-items regional price parity for Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV (108.9 against a national average of 100), that is $77,761 at national average prices. BEA publishes regional price parity at metro level; there is no county-level figure.

What is the unemployment rate in Warren County, Virginia?

3.3% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).

What is the GDP of Warren County, Virginia?

$2.6B (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP2).