Caroline County, Virginia
Demographics & Population
Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates
Household Income
Population Profile
Educational Attainment
Employment Overview
- Income premium: Households earn well above the national median, supporting strong retail and housing markets.
- Below the state median: Median household income runs $5,763 (6.2%) under the Virginia median, so statewide income averages overstate local household buying power.
- Talent gap: Bachelor's-or-higher attainment trails the national average by 13.9 pts, relevant for advanced-services attraction strategy.
Economy & Industry
Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis
- Largest private-sector industry: Administrative and Support and Waste Management employs 960 workers (24.9% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $32,157. Every industry figure on this page is private sector; government employs a further 1,780 and is counted separately.
- Economic scale: Regional GDP of $1.3B (2024).
- Wage stratification: Utilities averages $121,970 while Accommodation and Food Services averages $25,455, a 4.8x spread in the same local economy, with implications for workforce development and talent strategy.
EP customers get year-over-year deltas, WARN notices, and SEC filings for every sector tracked above, surfaced as proactive alerts, not after-the-fact news.
Industry Concentration
Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.
Cluster Depth
Attraction Opportunities
- Top specialization: Wood Product Manufacturing concentrates at 11.43x the national norm, top-decile concentration, the kind of signature sector that defines a region's economic identity to site selectors.
- Cluster depth: 10 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, and no single source of demand accounts for more than 38.2% of the employment across them, the largest being resident household spending. Demand reaches this base from more than one market rather than from a single one.
Housing & Affordability
Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026
Housing Overview
for rent or sale
HUD Fair Market Rents
- In line with national: Home value to income ratio of 3.5x sits near the ~4.1x national average; affordability is neither a clear advantage nor a recruitment friction.
- High home ownership: 82.3% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
- Affordable rent tiers: 3 of 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom sizes sit below what a household on the median renter income of $53,194 can pay without cost burden (~$1,330/mo), and 40.1% of renter households are measured as cost-burdened.
Workforce Pipeline
Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition
Labor Market Overview
Education & Talent Pipeline
Aging Workforce
Workforce by Occupation
- Succession risk is real: 22.9% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
- Healthy participation: 67.9% labor force participation reflects a steady, available local workforce.
- Talent pipeline: no college, university, or technical school is located in Caroline County per the IPEDS institutional directory, so any training pipeline serving it runs through institutions outside the county.
AI Insights
Sample output. Pulse AI analysis draws on 9 federal data sources.
Caroline County shows strong potential for wood product manufacturing attraction, with a 11.43x concentration and 171 jobs in this sub-sector. It ranks in the top decile nationally. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 22.9% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.
The concentrated base spans wood product manufacturing, gasoline stations and fuel dealers, and nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing, and no single source of demand accounts for more than 38.2% of the employment across them, the largest being resident household spending. Supply-chain recruitment has more than one demand base to work from.
Industry Shift Analysis
Prospect Match Scores
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Schedule a DemoData Sources
Updated from official federal government data.
American Community Survey figures on this page are 2020-2024 five-year averages rather than single-year counts. A five-year estimate pools 60 months of survey responses, so each value describes the period as a whole.
Frequently Asked Questions
Key economic and demographic figures for Caroline County, Virginia, from federal data sources.
What is the population of Caroline County, Virginia?
32,098 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).
What is the median household income in Caroline County, Virginia?
$87,407 in nominal dollars (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates). Adjusted for local prices using the BEA all-items regional price parity for Virginia (101.1 against a national average of 100), that is $86,456 at national average prices. BEA publishes regional price parity at state level; there is no county-level figure.
What is the unemployment rate in Caroline County, Virginia?
3.4% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).
What is the GDP of Caroline County, Virginia?
$1.3B (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP2).
