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Official Federal Data

Modoc County, California

Population 8,600
9 Sources Updated September 10, 2026
$59,455 up from the baseline named below
Median Income (nominal) vs 2019
$80,734 national
7.3% up from the baseline named below
Unemployment vs 2024
4.3% national
$688M up from the baseline named below
GDP (nominal) real change vs 2023
24.8% up from the baseline named below
Bachelor's+ vs 2019
35.7% national
Small population: 8,600 residents. These figures come from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey 5-year estimates, which carry a wide margin of error for places under 20,000 people. Read each value as an approximate range, and treat year-over-year changes as indicative rather than exact. A small shift can reflect survey sampling, not a real change on the ground.

Demographics & Population

Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates

Household Income

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
Median Household (nominal)
$59,455 up from 2019 vs 2019
Per Capita
$32,252 up from 2019 vs 2019
Mean Household
$78,582 up from 2019 vs 2019
Median Household (cost-of-living adjusted)
$53,708 state RPP 110.7
Poverty Rate
17.9% down from 2019 vs 2019approx.
Median Income Comparison
Modoc County$59,455
California$99,122
National$80,734
Modoc County is $39,667 (40.0%) below the California median.
Cost-of-living adjustment uses the BEA all-items regional price parity for California, 110.7 against a national average of 100 (2024). BEA publishes regional price parity at state and metropolitan level only; there is no county figure, so the state index stands in for Modoc County and the adjusted median is an approximation. Per capita and mean household income above are nominal and carry no adjustment.

Population Profile

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B01001, B02001, B03003
65+: 31.7% (2,722 residents) 55-64: 13% (1,115 residents) 35-54: 18.5% (1,587 residents) 18-34: 17.9% (1,537 residents) Under 18: 19.1% (1,639 residents) 48 Median Age
CohortsShare of total population
Under 18 · 19.1%
18-34 · 17.9%
35-54 · 18.5%
55-64 · 13%
65+ · 31.7%
Race & Ethnicity
White78.7%
Two or More Races12.2%
Some Other Race4.5%
Asian2.1%
American Indian and Alaska Native2%
Black or African American0.6%
Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander0%
Hispanic or Latino(any race)15.7%
Hispanic or Latino is an ethnic category and overlaps with the race categories above.

Educational Attainment

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · Population 25+
86.7%
High School+
National: 89.6%
down from national 2.9 pts vs national
24.8%
Bachelor's+
National: 35.7%
down from national 10.9 pts vs national
6.9%
Graduate+
National: 14.1%
down from national 7.2 pts vs national

Employment Overview

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
8,600
Population
3,368
Labor Force
Employed
3,112
Unemployment Rate BLS LAUS 2025 annual
7.3% up from 2024 +0.3 pts vs 2024
Mean Commute 4 min below national avg
22.5 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
11.9%
Labor Force and Employed are ACS 5-Year survey estimates; the Unemployment Rate above comes from BLS LAUS, a separate monthly survey with its own methodology. The two won't reconcile by subtracting one from the other.
Key Takeaways
  • Income gap: Households earn meaningfully less than the national median, which directly affects retail demand, housing absorption, and tax base.
  • Below the state median: Median household income runs $39,667 (40.0%) under the California median, so statewide income averages overstate local household buying power.
  • Cost of living erodes income: Local prices run 10.7% above the national average, so the nominal median of $59,455 is worth $53,708 at national average prices. BEA publishes price parity at state level, not county level.
  • Elevated poverty: At 17.9%, the rate is in economically distressed territory and supports federal funding narratives (CDFI, NMTC, EDA).
  • Talent gap: Bachelor's-or-higher attainment trails the national average by 10.9 pts, relevant for advanced-services attraction strategy.
  • Aging population: Median age of 48 is materially above the U.S. norm; succession planning and senior-services demand are real factors.

Economy & Industry

Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis

$688M up from 2023 +4.2% vs 2023
Gross Domestic Product · 2024
+4.2% real (inflation-adjusted) · +4.2% nominal · 2023 to 2024
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis · level and nominal change from CAGDP2 (current dollars); real change from CAGDP9 (chained 2017 dollars), both all-industry total. The two series agree in 2017, the chain reference year, and diverge by the amount of price change since.
110.7
Cost of Living · state · Above Avg

Top Private-Sector Industries by Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2024 Annual · Private sector only, with government shown below · 2025 is available but itemises 1 of the broad sectors against 4 for 2024, so the fuller year is shown
Top private-sector industries by employment in Modoc County, California, with employment, share of top sectors, and average wage. Government employment is excluded and reported separately below the table.
IndustryEmploymentShare of Top 8Avg Wage
1Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
336 32.3%
$54,067
2Retail Trade
178 17.1%
$35,123
3Administrative and Support and Waste Management
165 15.9%
$39,969
4Other Services (except Public Administration)
112 10.8%
$43,149
5Wholesale Trade
102 9.8%
$64,395
6Construction
74 7.1%
$57,086
7Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
64 6.2%
$54,200
8Manufacturing
9 0.9%
$37,287
Government employment · context only
1,097

Public-sector jobs are not in the table above and are not part of any share or location quotient on this page. Both are measured on the private economy only, 1,671 private jobs in 2024: every location quotient divides by that total, and the Share of Top 8 column divides by the 8 sectors listed above. Private employment is the standard basis for measuring industry concentration because government employment mostly serves the resident population rather than an outside market. Nothing on this card is expected to add up with the government figure.

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Key Takeaways
  • Largest private-sector industry: Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting employs 336 workers (32.3% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $54,067. Every industry figure on this page is private sector; government employs a further 1,097 and is counted separately.
  • Economic scale: Regional GDP of $688M (2024).
Source: BLS QCEW + BEA Regional GDP.
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Industry Concentration

Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.

Location Quotient Analysis

Chart source: BLS QCEW · broad NAICS supersector · private sector · Location Quotient vs. national private-sector employment share. The same supersector axes appear on every profile, so the shape can be compared across counties.
Concentrated Industries
List source: BLS QCEW · 3-digit NAICS sub-sector · private sector · Location Quotient vs. national private-sector employment share.
Same source and same private-sector basis as the Top Industries table above. These sit at a finer level than the chart's supersector axes, so the two sets of values are not directly comparable. The sub-sector view surfaces specialization the supersector view masks, such as Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry here.
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
22.77x
112
Crop Production
21.95x
150
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional Orgs
4.70x
85
Social Assistance
2.90x
171
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
2.88x
80
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
1.94x
28
Private Households
1.52x
4

Cluster Depth

Source: BLS QCEW · Sub-sectors with LQ ≥ 1.5 indicate genuine cluster concentration
Concentrated Sub-Sectors
7 sub-sectors at LQ ≥ 1.5
Largest grouping among them is Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting Cluster at 41.6% of the employment across all of them, which signals supply-chain fit for site selectors
630
Employment in the sub-sectors listed
22.77x
Peak sub-sector LQ
Sub-Sector Detail
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
22.77x 112
Crop Production
21.95x 150
Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, Professional Orgs
4.70x 85
Social Assistance
2.90x 171
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
2.88x 80
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
1.94x 28
Private Households
1.52x 4

Attraction Opportunities

LQ < 0.5 with ≥ 50 employed, screened against local siting constraints. Source: BLS QCEW
0.47x
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
64 employed
Screened on industrial power cost, rail-truck intermodal access, land base. Industrial electricity in California costs 21.62¢/kWh against 8.62¢/kWh nationally (2025). California has 30 rail-truck intermodal terminals, the nearest 256 miles from the county. Land area 3948 sq mi, larger than 96% of US counties. Sources: EIA, BTS NTAD, Census Gazetteer.
Key Takeaways
  • Top specialization: Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry concentrates at 22.77x the national norm, top-decile concentration, the kind of signature sector that defines a region's economic identity to site selectors.
  • Cluster depth: 7 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, and no single source of demand accounts for more than 41.6% of the employment across them, the largest being resource and agricultural commodities. Demand reaches this base from more than one market rather than from a single one.
Source: BLS QCEW sub-sector Location Quotients.
Modoc County's Top Sectors by Workforce Share
Each rectangle's area is proportional to that sector's share of total private-sector employment across all NAICS supersectors. Hover for exact employment.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW 2024 Annual · Private sector, NAICS supersectors

Housing & Affordability

Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026

Housing Overview

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates · Tables B25001, B25077, B25064, B25004
$224,700 up from the baseline named below
Median Home Value vs 2019
$836 up from the baseline named below
Rent/Mo vs 2019
77.4% up from the baseline named below
Owner-Occ vs 2019
31.4% up from the baseline named below
Vacancy vs 2019
1.8% available
for rent or sale
3.8x
Home Value to Income Ratio
vs. ~4.1x national average

HUD Fair Market Rents

HUD publishes these by FMR area, which may cover more than one county · Source: HUD · Fair Market Rents FY2026 · Affordability threshold and renter cost burden from Census ACS B25119, B25070
Studio
$774/mo
1 Bedroom
$883/mo
2 Bedroom
$1,108/mo
3 Bedroom
$1,434/mo
4 Bedroom
$1,831/mo
30% of monthly median renter household income (~$1,008/mo, from a renter median of $40,313) · rents above this line are typically considered cost-burdened.
Measured: 33.5% of renter households already pay 30% or more of income on rent, and 17.1% pay 50% or more.
Key Takeaways
  • In line with national: Home value to income ratio of 3.8x sits near the ~4.1x national average; affordability is neither a clear advantage nor a recruitment friction.
  • High home ownership: 77.4% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
  • Elevated vacancy: 31.4% of housing units are vacant, above the California rate of 7.5%, and up from 31.2% in 2019.
  • Mostly second homes: seasonal, recreational and occasional-use units are 48.3% of vacant units, so the headline rate is not available supply.
  • Genuinely available supply: units listed for rent or for sale are 5.6% of the vacant stock, or 1.8% of all housing units against the 31.4% headline vacancy rate. Absorbable supply for an incoming employer is thin, and the gap between the two is the redevelopment and conversion opportunity.
  • Affordable rent tiers: 2 of 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom sizes sit below what a household on the median renter income of $40,313 can pay without cost burden (~$1,008/mo), and 33.5% of renter households are measured as cost-burdened.
Source: Census ACS housing tables + HUD Fair Market Rents.

Workforce Pipeline

Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition

Labor Market Overview

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B23001, B23025, B08303, B08301
4,239 down from the baseline named below
Working Age (18-64) vs 2019
Mean Commute 4 min below national avg
22.5 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
11.9%
Prime-Age Employed (25-54)
76.3%
of prime-age population
Prime-age rate numerator is civilian employed (B23001); the denominator is total population aged 25-54 (B01001), which also includes armed forces.
Labor force participation rate: 47.4%, the labor force as a share of the population aged 16 and over (ACS B23025) 47% Participation
of population age 16 and over (7,136)
up from 2019 vs 2019

Education & Talent Pipeline

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003
Bachelor's+
24.8% up from 2019 vs 2019
HS Diploma+
86.7% up from 2019 vs 2019
Institutions in Modoc County
The IPEDS institutional directory lists no college, university, or technical school located in Modoc County. Any training pipeline serving this county runs through institutions outside it, which this page does not aggregate.

Aging Workforce

Source: Census Bureau ACS · Derived from age & employment tables
26.3%
55-64 of working-age population (18-64)
Same cohort is 13% of total population, the basis used in the Demographics cohort chart.
Elevated retirement risk, above the 20% threshold. Succession planning recommended.

Workforce by Occupation

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table C24010 · Civilian employed population 16+
Management / Professional
44.6%
Service
20.2%
Sales & Office
16.7%
Construction / Maint.
11%
Production / Transport
7.6%
Bars are drawn on a 0% to 60% axis, so bar length is proportional to actual share. Labels give each group's share of 3,112 employed workers.
Key Takeaways
  • Succession risk is real: 26.3% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
  • Low participation: 47.4% labor force participation against a labor force that grew 4.7% between 2019 and 2024, so workforce development programs may unlock additional supply.
  • Talent pipeline: no college, university, or technical school is located in Modoc County per the IPEDS institutional directory, so any training pipeline serving it runs through institutions outside the county.
Source: ACS workforce data and College Scorecard.

AI Insights

Sample output. Pulse AI analysis draws on 9 federal data sources.

Sample AI Insight

Modoc County shows strong potential for support activities for agriculture and forestry attraction, with a 22.77x concentration and 112 jobs in this sub-sector. It ranks in the top decile nationally. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 26.3% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.

The concentrated base spans support activities for agriculture and forestry, crop production, and religious, grantmaking, civic, professional orgs, and no single source of demand accounts for more than 41.6% of the employment across them, the largest being resource and agricultural commodities. Supply-chain recruitment has more than one demand base to work from.

Industry Shift Analysis

Manufacturing Automation Risk
High
Healthcare Growth Forecast
+4.2% CAGR
Remote Work Migration
67/100

Prospect Match Scores

Advanced Manufacturing
92/100
Life Sciences
84/100
Data Centers
71/100
Illustrative example

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Data Sources

Updated from official federal government data.

Census ACS 5-Year2024
BLS QCEW2024 annual
BLS LAUS2025 annual
BEA Regional GDP2024
BEA Regional Price Parity2024
Census CBP2023
HUD Fair Market RentsFY2026
FCC Broadband Map2024
USAspending.govFY2026

American Community Survey figures on this page are 2020-2024 five-year averages rather than single-year counts. A five-year estimate pools 60 months of survey responses, so each value describes the period as a whole.

Frequently Asked Questions

Key economic and demographic figures for Modoc County, California, from federal data sources.

What is the population of Modoc County, California?

8,600 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the median household income in Modoc County, California?

$59,455 in nominal dollars (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates). Adjusted for local prices using the BEA all-items regional price parity for California (110.7 against a national average of 100), that is $53,708 at national average prices. BEA publishes regional price parity at state level; there is no county-level figure.

What is the unemployment rate in Modoc County, California?

7.3% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).

What is the GDP of Modoc County, California?

$688M (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP2).